Hi everyone.
I would like to continue upon my earlier version of
how a man made(Made in People`s Republic of China-PRC)
chaos is impending in Himachal Pradesh. While this
issue of flash flood is surely not a tabloid cover
story,it is getting its due importance where it should
matter, the Indian security establisment.Indian
Defense Ministry has taken notice

Fact 1: A helpless hill state, Himachal Pradesh.
Strategic to the Indo China border equation.
Geographical constraints weighs heavy on whatsoever
little infrastructure is there. Small and vulnerable
state machinery whose ability to respond to any
disaster of this magnitude is questionable.

Fact 2: Our experimental closesly guarded neighbour
China, who has some nack of inventiveness in defence
perparedness keeps us Indians on toes with one or the
other troubles. Their inconsistent ping pong foreign
policy is not helpful either.

Fact 3: A muted India viz a viz China. Some how, we
find one or the other reason to find fault with
ourselve when it come to issues related to Indo-
china. The babus in New Delhi has an excellent
reasoning for issues it considers trivial. They dont
want to upset the "excellent equation" they have with
the PRC, if New Delhi`s foerign policy babus has to be
believed.

Let us come back to the issue of flash flood at hand.

Natural blockage of river along the himalyas is not a
new feature. But since 2000 this has taken a new
meaning with these flash floods. The magnitude of this
lake ranges from 180-250 hectares. Six km wide and
1.5 km wide. Water up to 100-120 cubic meteres. Simply
said this translates to 70-80 feet of water running
down the satluj. It could have been all right if only
it was perfectly natural. But is it?

In the after math of June 2000 flash flooding in
Arunachal Pradesh, Indian army was abuzz with
theories. Army officials suspect that the Peoples
Liberation Army of China may have blasted the dam to
experiment the impact of flash floods in the sensitive
north-east and to study the damage such a flood may
cause on the Indian side. For detailed
info click
http://www.sandelman.ottawa.on.ca/lists/html/dam-l/2000/msg02049.html


Two months later kinnaur flash flood happened. No rain
on indian side. No precedent of ever such happening
from the Tibetan side for ages. And bam a water wall
of 50 feet hit himachal in 2000. Hundreds of lives
were lost. 50+ bridges washed awayand road
connectivity was closed for months.

1 years later ISRO pin pointed chinese hand in that
flash flood too. So why is China deliberatley
witholding information? Do they know something
that we dont know?

Whatever the case may be. Panic is set in upper
himcahal. Afterall people have to use the roads
everyday to get on with their lives. And it sure isnt
easy to travel on those roads when 70 feet of water is
ready to chase you out of the road at hundres of
km/hr. Thousands have been moved from the low lying
houses in variious villages and towns. So in a way
psychological drubbing of people is already in place.

The chinese govt has still not allowed Indian
Officials to visit the site(barely half an hour
helicopter ride from the indian side. They claim the
terrain is so difficult, they havent been able to
reach the site themselves. Well, its not
their roads bridges dams and lives at stake. So
Indians should come out of the "I wont antagonise
chinese shell" and do some tough talking. The
chinese ambassador in new delhi was not asked upon to
brief indian govt(demarche) about day today reports
because as one indian foreign monistry offical put it,
we dont interact with the chinese this way(the
impolite way). So technically that means, unless india
asks them, china is not bound to share any
information. Thats classic Indian diplomacy at play.
Seems like 10,000 crore NJPC project, upcoming Rampur
project, 200-250 km of NH-22, hundreds of bridges,
hundreds of lives, the cost of reconstruction in the
range of 500-600 crore. And top of that the hardship
to the local populace is an easy choice for the indian
govt.
The Chinese have a good alibi this time. We said you
so, it was coming. Well i just wish we dont learn it
the hard way.

More can be read at
The mysterious Tibetan Lake
http://in.rediff.com/news/2004/aug/11claude.htm





=====
lil belz say`s good day





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